The rate of the New Zealand dollar fell when the ruling National Party won the most votes in the last elections, however, without gaining an absolute majority.
Now there is an opportunity to form a coalition. The euro also fell when Germany’s Chancellor Angela Merkel won the election in Germany, remaining for the fourth term, confronted with the problem of parliamentary instability due to the increased popularity of the ultra-right. Continue reading →
In Asia today, the focus of news from China-recent strict measures taken by the state concerning large banks and private companies to contain risky borrowings abroad, led to riots in the financial sector. The active sale of shares continues, and the head of the Commission on the Regulation of Banking Activities of China Guo Shuking announced his likely resignation. Such a development could lead to a rapid fall in the national currency. Nevertheless, the companies that touched on the above-mentioned events are trying to calm investors by noting that these are only standard procedures, the purpose of which is to ensure the security of the national currency. Continue reading →
Today is a busy day for traders, as important events will occur immediately in the three leading economies of the world.
In Britain today is the day of parliamentary elections: citizens will come to polling stations to cast their vote for a particular political party. The pound sterling rate will react sensitively to the exit poll results and any news regarding the elections. At the moment, the value of the GBP is a potential victory for the Conservatives, and if the election results are different, that is, the Labor Party will win, the pound’s rate will rapidly fall. If the Conservatives do not win a majority, it will be seen as a bearish pound, as the parties will have to form a coalition, which entails additional political risk as uncertainty grows. Continue reading →
The GBPUSD rate fell yesterday despite strong bull attempts to counter this. The pair fell below 1.2800 against the background of the latest results of the YOUGOV poll, which indicates a decline in the popularity of the conservative party. Now they occupy only 16 seats, and it’s not enough for the majority. The results of the surveys may be erroneous, so traders will continue to closely monitor the situation, and the pound rate falls against the background of growing uncertainty in the markets.
Next, we will see key data publications out of Canada and the US.
In Canada, GDP will come out m/m, and this publication can radically change the trend of trading in Canadian markets, given the weakness of the national currency due to the cheapening of oil in recent times. Continue reading →
The published Minutes of the FOMC session left a bad taste in the mouth of traders, as weak comments from committee members raised doubts about the reality of the June rate hike. Markets will be sensitive to the data from the US and will be guided by them. Next, we’ll look at the key publications for today.
Among the first to come out preliminary data on GDP (q/q) of Great Britain. Given the recent strength of the pound sterling, this publication can cause market volatility. This indicator reflects the change in the value of goods and services produced in Britain, and is the primary indicator of the economic health of the country. If it exceeds expectations, the pound sterling rate will rise. Against the backdrop of a disappointing report, the British currency may fall and lose yesterday’s levels. Continue reading →
Among the first will be published the Index of the business climate IFO Germany with a preliminary forecast of 112.9. The index will show the degree of confidence of producers, construction companies, wholesale and retail trade enterprises in the future of the country and the EU as a whole, since Germany is the largest economy of the euro area. If the publication exceeds expectations, then the confidence of entrepreneurs has increased, which will contribute to the growth of the euro. The disappointing indicator will become an indicator of the decline in confidence, against which the euro’s rate will fall.
In the UK there will be a Hearing Report on inflation, which is of particular interest to traders, as they are able to give markets an idea of the economic climate in the UK after Brexit. Continue reading →
The week ahead has many a fundamental news release and events to look forward to, and the numerous trading opportunities they create. Let us take a look at our top 3 picks:
1. Tuesday is considering the release of the inflation report in the UK, which will outline the views of the Bank of England on the current state of inflation and growth in the UK economy. The stock indices of GBP and UK are volatile during the publication of the report, which, if it is significant enough, will lead to a long-term asset movement. If the report shows that the UK economy is growing and inflation is at least stable to growth, we will see a positive impact on the pound, while the report that the UK economy is cooling will lead to a pound sale.
Yesterday’s trade showed that the markets were tired again, as we saw that Asian stocks don’t keep up with Wall Street growth, when both NASDAQ and S&P 500 showed record highs after stronger growth in energy reserves due to higher traffic In the crud oil. Nikkei 225 stopped at 20,000 points, adding 0.1%, while ASX 200 added 0.2% after a fairly neutral release of RBA-minutes, in which the Bank was concerned about housing and labor markets, balancing it with Forecast of sustainable GDP growth. In China, as in Shanghai comp. And Hang Seng lost 0.3%, as regulatory concerns mount.
In the currency pair, the dollar remained low, as we saw that the USD index, a measure of the strength of the US dollar against the basket of currencies, remains below the 99 level. JPY found strength, as sentiment fell overnight, prompting USDJPY to fall below 113.50, Canceling strong pressure on the purchase from the end of yesterday.
GBP remains muted ahead of today’s release of CPI, in which we expect a 2.6% growth year-on-year. Continue reading →
Since the elections in the UK will take place literally within a few weeks, the two main parties are fighting for dominance, as they hope to take the lead in the elections and guide the countries to the future. In its present form, Article 50, the formal initiation of Brexit negotiations took place, and the two sides split in how to conduct the business. The current Prime Minister, May, took a strict approach to the negotiations, hoping to play ball. She stated that she would get the best possible deal for the UK or not at all, all by marginalizing Wales and Ireland, without considering their views on how Braxit should be handled.
On the other hand, the Labor Party adopted a more general position, implying that they see the role of positive relations between the EU and the United States in promoting the best solution that is acceptable to both sides and does not take an aggressive all or nothing position. Continue reading →